The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory

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The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory (ISBN 0786430486) is a 2007 book by Henry Bauer. It details his arguments against the HIV paradigm based on his intense scrutiny of HIV antibody test demographics, concluding that the HIV antibody test results display such profound regularity across categories such as race, gender, age, and geographic location, that they cannot possibly be detecting an infectious – let alone sexually transmitted – microbe. This scientific review largely expands upon Bauer's previous three papers on HIV antibody test demographics published in the Journal of Scientific Exploration (Bauer 2005-6).

Based on his experience in science and technology studies, Bauer also offers his own sociological explanations of how the HIV hypothesis has persisted for so long despite its failings. A common theme is that HIV/AIDS research stretches across a variety of scientific disciplines, and so individual researchers must trust the conclusions of their peers in other fields and tend to assume that anomalies they detect are isolated and rare.


  • Acknowledgments
  • List of Figures
  • List of Tables
  • Preface
  • A Note on Sources and the Structure of the Book

Part I: Does HIV Cause AIDS?

Order form for The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory
1. Males and Females
2. Uniform Trends
3. False Positives or Contaminated Samples?
4. HIV is Not an Infection
5. HIV Discriminates by Race
6. What Is It About Race?
7. Racism
8. What Do HIV Tests Detect?
9. HIV and AIDS Are Not Correlated
10. AIDS

Part II: Lessons from History

11. Missteps in Modern Medical Science
12. How Science Progresses
13. Research Cartels and Knowledge Monopolies

Part III: How HIV/AIDS Theory Took and Kept Hold

14. It’s a Virus
15. Maintaining the Monopoly
16. The End of the Beginning
  • Sources
  • Index


By Bauer

  • "Consider such types of behavior as smoking, say, or overeating. The prevalence of smoking has decreased overall during the last couple of decades in the United States, but less among those of lower income than among middle- and upper-income people. Among the latter, it has decreased among males but increased among females. Overall, smoking is now more prevalent among youth than among older adults, whereas fifty years ago the opposite was the case. In some cultural groups, smoking is very common among males and non-existent among women, whereas in other cultures there is no great difference. In other words, smoking is not influenced independently by age, sex, and race or ethnicity. Smoking varied differently with age in the past than now, it varies differently with sex in some cultures than in others, and its variation with sex has changed over time. Thus smoking is predominantly an acquired behavior, even if there is some physiological tendency toward or away from addiction in general or addiction to nicotine in particular.... A similar argument can be made as to overeating leading to obesity. Overeating is greater in some socioeconomic groups than in others. In some cultural settings, obesity is prized among women and is therefore common among them, whereas in other cultural settings, the opposite holds. Overeating is not influenced independently by age, sex, and race; it is a relatively malleable behavior, not unalterably determined by one's genes.... That such behaviors as smoking or overeating do not show regular variations by age, sex, and race demonstrates that they are determined more by environmental factors than by inherent ones. Conversely, if some measured characteristic is influenced independently by age, sex, and race, then that measured characteristic is primarily a matter of physiology and not an acquired, culture-determined behavior. F(HIV) [prevalence of positive HIV antibody test results] – the tendency to test HIV-positive – is influenced independently by age, sex, and race; therefore it is primarily a matter of physiology, not of any tendency to practice promiscuous unsafe sex." (Bauer 2007a)
  • "That the mere facts of a matter do not change national policies has been abundantly illustrated. How many failures of agricultural practice did the former Soviet Union suffer before the pseudo-science of Trofim Lysenko was replaced by the genetic science accepted by the rest of the world? What did it take to change American policy during the Vietnam War, even after many sectors of society had already sensed that a change was needed?" (Bauer 2007a)
  • "The manner in which HIV/AIDS theory got on the wrong track and stayed there is a cogent illustration of the dilemmas faced by knowledge-seeking in the 21st century. In a nutshell, the intellectual free market that gave rise to modern science, starting in earnest roughly in the 17th century in Western Europe, was created by individual knowledge-seeking scientific entrepreneurs; it has morphed, most notably during the second half of the 20th century, into knowledge monopolies and research cartels dominated by commercial, official, and academic bureaucracies, in which the search for truth does not necessarily take priority over profit-seeking, institutional jockeying for political and social preferment, and public relations." (Bauer 2007b)
  • "Aside from the psychic blow, the eventual realization that HIV does not cause AIDS will also produce heavy material consequences. In the United States, class-action litigation in several directions will almost certainly ensue; think of the lawsuits directed against the tobacco industry, or against the pharmaceutical industry over such drugs as Vioxx.... One need be no conspiracy buff to anticipate the scramble by institutions and by individuals to evade so unwelcome a truth as the fact that HIV is not the cause of AIDS." (Bauer 2007a)

About the book

  • "Thanks to enormous funding for educational programs, the whole world 'knows' that HIV causes AIDS. But is what we know compatible with the facts? This book challenges the conventional wisdom on this issue. Collating and analyzing, for the first time, the results of more than two decades of HIV testing, it reveals that the common assumptions about HIV and AIDS are incompatible with the published data. Among the many topics explored are the failings of HIV testing, statistical evidence that HIV is neither sexually transmitted nor increasingly prevalent, and problems caused by the differing diagnostic criteria for AIDS around the world... But how could everyone have been so wrong for so long? This vital question, unaddressed in previous works questioning the HIV/AIDS connection, is central to this book. The author considers comparable missteps of modern science, and discusses how funding influences discovery in today's scientific circles." — Amazon review (Amazon 2007)
  • "This is an excellent book. Thorough, readable, scholarly. I consider it easily one of the ten best AIDS dissident books." — John Lauritsen (Hogan 2007)
  • "[A]n excellent summary of statistical anomalies in HIV/AIDS in the United States." — David Crowe (Hogan 2007)
  • "Given such evidence [of the regularities of HIV antibody test results presented by Bauer], I find it astonishing that apparently no statistician has ever undertaken a rigorous multivariate statistical analysis to determine the full implications of [Bauer's] findings." — Darin Brown (Brown 2007)

Documents and external links




  1. Amazon, 2007. Product description of The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory.
  2. Bauer, Henry, 2005-6. "Demographic Characteristics of HIV", Part 1 PDFsmallicon.gif (errata PDFsmallicon.gif), Part 2 PDFsmallicon.gif, and Part 3 PDFsmallicon.gif, Journal of Scientific Exploration, 2005-6.
  3. Bauer, Henry, 2007. The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory, pp. 30-31.
  4. Bauer, Henry, 2007. Ibid, p. 178.
  5. Bauer, Henry, 2007. Ibid, p. 215.
  6. Bauer, Henry, 2007. Preface to The Origins, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory.
  7. Brown, Darin, 2007. Review of The Origin, Persistence, and Failings of HIV/AIDS Theory.
  8. Hogan, James P., 2007. Heretics Catalog.
  9. Hogan, James P., 2007. Ibid.